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Ad trends 2026: lessons from 110 million NOK in ad spend

Sivert RiddersethReportCurve.no
In short: Curve's report on what will matter most in performance marketing in 2026, based on more than 110 million NOK in ad spend in 2025. You get our 10 predictions, the 5 most common mistakes in ad accounts, 10 real audits with real numbers, 12 ad concepts and the scaling method we use for our clients. Everything comes from our own accounts and our own learnings through the year.

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Based on more than 110 million NOK in ad spend

What you are about to read is the result of dozens of hours of discussion across the entire Curve team, plus more than 110 million NOK in ad spend for our clients in 2025. Not to mention several hundred thousand NOK spent on mentors, courses and training from the best international environments.

Norway still runs 2 to 3 years behind the bigger markets in performance marketing, but the road ahead has never been clearer. In the more sophisticated markets the shift happened about a year ago: from media buying, meaning small tactical moves inside the ad account, to creative strategy. Content became the new targeting, and the advertisers with the most content took all the sales.

The numbers make it obvious. Norway has 5.5 million inhabitants, while other markets fight for the attention of 347 million people. There are 33 million companies in the US and 700,000 in Norway. Advertisers over there have had to break through with new strategies, and there is plenty to take from them, as long as you look past how wild some of the ads can be.

We realized this in the summer of 2023 when we founded Curve.no. Today we spend around 200,000 NOK per day on ads across our clients. With us, Collagen for Hund has grown from 1,500 NOK in daily ad spend to 20,000 NOK while increasing profitability. Propr has grown its bottom line by 252%.

110M+
NOK in ad spend in 2025
200,000
NOK spent on ads per day
+252%
bottom line growth for Propr

The paid social trends that will matter most going forward boil down to three things: creative volume, creative diversity and creative strategy. The rest of the report shows you what that means in practice.

Our 10 predictions for 2026

1. Performance marketing becomes more relevant as more teams measure profit

Traditional advertising and branding will not go away, but marketing departments will want more people with performance skills who know how to activate sales without hurting the brand. More performance agencies will also be founded in Norway, which will force the market to grow. The more people who publish content about performance, the more people become aware of it and give it a try.

2. Even more brands take creative strategy seriously

Norway's performance trends have followed 2 to 3 years behind the US, and with the tendencies we see in the market, creative strategy becomes more important than ever. Think UGC ads, creative image ads and even bigger testing of angles, concepts and creative variation. More than half of Curve is our creative department, led by Oscar, our creative director.

3. You can use AI for a lot, but some tasks still require humans

We use AI for tips, input and suggestions we would not come up with ourselves, but we make the final call on creative direction. Our ads are not made from scratch with AI. We only use AI to brief and design images that go into complete ads. AI output never gets better than the input of the person using the tool.

4. The definition of brand guidelines gets redefined

Today, guidelines cover how messages should be shaped, how images should look and clearly defined personas. But to scale on social media you need to reach your entire audience, and you do that through creative variation: content that appeals to each individual. New brand guidelines will contain top-level decisions on font, color and identity, with much more room to play in the practical execution. Font and color do not move ad results, but they build recognition. Look at RyanAir: they have a clear identity, and that is their frame.

5. The closer you get to the customer's own words, the better it converts

Use your customers' own words in your marketing and it feels more relevant and on point. More marketers will read comment sections, along with product reviews, customer service tickets and public forums where the product or the problem you solve is being discussed.

6. LTV becomes a more important metric than CPA

LTV (lifetime value) becomes more important than CPA (cost per acquisition) because it is a KPI you can own and control, while CPA is exposed to swings and instability in the platforms. The brands that performed best in November and December 2025 had spent the entire year making themselves independent of the platforms. They had built strong retention marketing on the back of their purchases, which made customers loyal and got them to buy more.

7. 90% of average media buyers will fail

It gets easier to turn ads on, but harder to manage them, with a more confusing algorithm you can never fully understand. Experience will beat technical know-how, because the technical know-how changed in 2025. You need people who have stood in change before and can adapt. Luckily, there are fundamental principles to start from.

8. The market price for agencies that only manage ads is 10,000 NOK per month

Starting with an agency that will only manage your ads? 10,000 NOK per month. Starting with an agency responsible for creative production, analysis, iterating on winners, sourcing creators, editing videos and managing the ads inside the platforms on top? Expect around 50,000 NOK. Why? Because of the impact. You have limited room to play inside the account now, and you drive results with the ads you use. Tactical changes in ads manager are useless without a large, strong creative volume every week.

9. More agencies need skin in the game

Skin in the game means the agency has something to lose. If an agency gets a percentage of the results or the ad spend from its ad creatives, it is in their best interest to create the results you want. With more competition, this shift happens gradually. Agencies that refuse to take the risk, and keep pushing the risk onto the client through fixed fees, gradually become less competitive.

10. Brand ambassadors become more important

You need a person the market likes who recommends your products and your company. TV personalities and influencers are actually becoming more influential. These are humans, and they cannot be copied by AI. They create instant trust, and we see more and more brands with spokespeople who are publicly known and used in ad after ad.

The 5 most common mistakes we see in ad accounts

1. You test blindly without a strategy

Are you testing different concepts? Are you testing different angles? You need all of it to have predictability when scaling. It is part of a bigger strategy, and the foundation of a system that works.

2. No iteration, you do not do more of what works

Every time you have an ad that works, you want it multiplied by ten with many new variants. A small preview: You test an angle, for example "Quenches your thirst", "Tastes great" or "Healthiest on the market". If the angle works, you run it through the 12 concepts further down in the report.

3. You do not treat angles and concepts differently

An angle is the reason someone buys. A concept is how the ad communicates the angle.

Far too few know this distinction. It is valuable because it gives you an ocean of possibilities. Biggest of all: running winning angles through many different concepts. That easily multiplies your volume, with a far higher probability of success.

4. You do not know how the algorithm works in 2026

First of all, you need to understand the business model of the social platforms, especially Meta. We advertisers are the customer, but the product, which matters most, is the user. Create a bad user experience and the user leaves the platform. Then there are fewer users, and fewer who want to advertise there. That is bad business for Meta.

That is why the platform's number one focus is: keep the user on the platform, do not scare anyone away. It is also why LinkedIn does not like links in posts, you are sending users out of their platform. A secondary focus is creating sales for the advertiser, but the platforms know that is best achieved through a good user experience. The smoother a buying experience is, the more users stay, and the more advertisers get sales. It is all connected.

5. You do not know how targeting works in 2026

The content does all the targeting. If an ad says "how busy moms can make healthy food for the whole family", the ad gets shown to busy moms who care about healthy food for their family. We even run some ads for the agency that are completely broad, with no targeting. They talk about advertising for companies spending around 200,000 NOK per month on ads, and it surprised us: The ad converts well with highly qualified companies.

The algorithm knows what each of us prefers to see in the feed. Some people get almost only video ads because they stop more often, click more often and buy. That is good business for Meta. That is why you want images, videos and carousels, plus many different angles, concepts and twists on your ads, because there is no one size fits all.

If you do not have a large selection of ads, your profitability goes down. Here is why:

More variation = more relevance = lower ad cost = higher ROAS.

You let the algorithm optimize for you, but it cannot do that if it only has one card to play.

3 things you need in place to stop results from changing overnight

01

Creative variation and analysis

This solves the fundamental cause behind drops in results. Meta struggles to deliver when it has few ads with too little variation to lean on. You cannot have 5 good ads, you need dozens. A drop in results comes down to saturation and fatigue, the ads simply stop working.

02

Presence on multiple channels

You cannot depend heavily on Meta. Your budget needs to be spread across several channels that reach different people. Google will become even more important, since the channel is deprioritized by many today.

03

A new approach to ad management

You cannot micro-adjust your way out of weaker results. Meta and several channels have struggled to respect set budgets and cost caps. You depend more on fundamentally good ads and the right testing approach to decide whether an ad is good or not.

Best practice for prospecting

Best practice for retargeting

Run a MOF campaign (middle of funnel) targeting page views, engagement and the like. Here you need to uncover 10 questions people at this stage have, often simple questions you assume are self-explanatory:

Answer each question in its own ad, 10 ads in total. Build 10 ad sets with a hard frequency cap of max 1, give them a low budget, and let each ad set contain one ad.

Do the same in a BOF campaign (bottom of funnel) against carts, trials and the like: uncover 10 questions, focus on triggering ads, adapt the message and use social proof. Same setup with 10 ad sets and a frequency cap.

Pro tip: Hire a person to behave like someone considering buying your product. Have them go through reviews, various websites and your homepage, and note which questions come up. Answer those questions. You cannot find every objection yourself when you work with the product every day.

10 real audits we did of companies' advertising in 2025

We have been paid 5,500 NOK an hour to give away this information. Now we are giving it out for free. Below you get the main findings from 10 different analyses, with benchmarks, recommended strategies and bottlenecks, for both Meta and Google. All sensitive information has been removed, and it is not possible to tell which companies are involved. At the end we reveal the common denominator across all the analyses.

Feel free to watch the video where we break down all the analyses first: Video: walkthrough of all the audits

Audit 1: Info product, Norway

One of the most unique accounts we have ever gone through. Only about 100,000 NOK spent in the last 30 days, with 80% going to click and reach campaigns that nobody uses anymore, and that no longer work.

Audit 2: Digital service, Norway

Audit 3: Pet supplies, USA

Audit 4: Cosmetics, Norway

Audit 5: Anonymous, Norway

Audit 6: Health product, USA

Audit 7: Home, Norway

Audit 8: Health products, USA

A very strange and unique case: a big brand that has barely touched paid ads.

Audit 9: Housing, Norway

Audit 10: Tech gadget, USA

The common denominator: 13 bottlenecks across all the analyses

  1. Missing creative diversity: A set-and-forget mentality with a limited selection of ads that worked in the past, without a system for continuously developing, testing and rotating new creatives. That creates ad fatigue where the audience sees the same ads too often.
  2. Static testing and scaling: Widespread lack of systematic testing of concepts and angles. Even when a winner is identified, it is rarely iterated further with changes in message, expression or format.
  3. Wrong campaign optimization: Campaigns are optimized for soft goals like clicks and reach instead of sales and leads. That attracts a low-quality audience that clicks but does not buy.
  4. Inefficient budget allocation: A significant share of the funds goes to underperforming campaigns, while successful sales-driven campaigns are underfunded.
  5. Unstructured account setup: Fragmented accounts with too many campaigns and ad sets create noise, make it hard for the algorithms to learn, and hard to track what actually works.
  6. Skewed reporting and data: Excessive focus on brand searches gives a distorted picture of performance. Much of the traffic would most likely have come anyway, and ROAS becomes misleading.
  7. Technical errors and gaps: Deficient tracking and wrong settings. In some cases automatic features are enabled without consent, which makes accurate A/B testing impossible.
  8. Passive scaling: The budget is increased without an established system for testing creatives and audiences, which often gives declining ROAS against an ever broader and less relevant audience.
  9. Incomplete platform utilization: Only a small part of the platform's potential is used, for example only search campaigns while high-converting formats like Shopping and Display are ignored.
  10. Inefficient retargeting: Unnecessarily high frequency causes overspending on existing audiences and eats into the prospecting budget.
  11. Missing targeting signals: Key data like customer lists is either not uploaded or has technical errors, which weakens the algorithm's ability to find profitable new customers.
  12. Fragmented geographic targeting: Multiple countries in the same campaign gives the algorithm mixed data and makes it hard to optimize per market.
  13. Lack of an overarching growth strategy: The biggest bottleneck. Many companies react to short-term swings instead of following a systematic, long-term plan for growth and profitability.

What we see across the accounts in 2026

Cost per lead is going up and conversion rates are going down. This is data we already have, and we see it across all the accounts we have managed for more than 110 million NOK in 2025. 2025 was a year where Meta trained AI at enormous scale, and it led to weaker results: loads of changes, new features and automatic functions have produced unstable results.

One thing is what the average is, but what if you look at your own benchmarks? Many of the best brands we analyzed after Black Week had 20 to 40% better AOV (average order value, measured in the campaigns) and LTV (across the whole store), but up to 40% lower conversion rate inside Meta, from ad to purchase. The results evened out thanks to their retention efforts in AOV and LTV.

12 ad concepts we recommend right now

These concepts work across industries, and here is why they deliver results:

AdWhy they deliver results
Us vs ThemYou compare yourself with other, more conventional solutions to the problem you solve. This hits people who are solution aware.
Before / AfterShow the measurable effect of what you do. It makes your value bigger and more predictable, and gives higher confidence in your solution.
ListicleFor the "rational" buyer who needs a bit of convincing and likes to feel well equipped with plenty of information before buying.
USPsUnique selling points make it simple and clear why someone should buy your solution.
UnboxingGets the buyer to imagine the feelings and joy of opening the package themselves, and often ends in a purchase.
TestimonialBuilds trust. Use one quote from a customer review as the hook, and suddenly you speak the same language as your audience.
UGC ReviewGet a person to speak warmly about your solution. People listen to people.
3 Reasons WhyWhy buy the product? Answer the questions on behalf of your customers, so they save energy and can more easily see why what you sell is worth the money.
How ToSolve a problem the customer has, and explain "how to" where your solution is the solution.
Problem / SolutionCall out the exact problem the customer is sitting with, and present your solution. Great for TOF.
Viral Meme HookVery popular and creates a lot of engagement. Builds good relationships with the audience.
CGI adsA marketing stunt with the same arguments as the viral meme hook.

How to scale in 2026: from angle to volume

Creative strategy is perhaps the most important tool a modern marketer has. Without good ads it does not matter how good you are at buying media, the ads actually have to hit the audience. Meta's algorithm is extremely good and shows the ads that fit each individual best: some like simple image ads that get straight to the point, others prefer long, explanatory videos or carousels. If you want to succeed as an advertiser, you need something that hits every type of person. You cannot have five good ads and think you are done. One size never fits all, not in creative strategy either.

Step 1: Test angles, and think A/Z, not A/B

The first thing you need to find out is which angles resonate. Find ideas and angles from TikTok, Reddit and reviews, and make simple image ads for each angle. Make sure the angles are completely different: test A against Z, not A against B. A/B testing is about small differences like headlines, colors and buttons. A/Z testing is about testing things that are actually different enough to give clear answers.

Step 2: Once you have a winning angle, make more ads with different concepts

If you know, for example, that football coaches dream of free time on evenings and weekends, you can build many concepts around exactly that.

Step 3: Exploit all the different concepts

These are the winning concepts we use at Curve:

You test the concepts after you have found a good angle. The order is:

  1. Test angles
  2. Test concepts
  3. Test audiences

3 ad frameworks we have scaled on Snapchat

Example 1: UGC with a snap hook

Example 2: Organic funny hook

Example 3: Shocking statistic (UGC)

Bonus, how we film: We always ask "if this person filmed the video organically and posted it on their own channel, what would the setting look like?" Would they set up a camera in a nice studio, with perfect lighting and a nice shirt? Or would they film while walking outside in beautiful nature, in the car on the way home from the store, with a handheld phone straight to camera? The answer is usually the latter.

Want to see the templates in practice? Here you find 30 ad templates we have spent more than 10,000,000 NOK on profitably: Winning Ads Templates (Figma)

Go further with Curve

Street interviews are one of the concepts we scale the most across our clients. Read more about how we work with the format on our page about street interview ads.

Want to see the methods in this report in practice? See how Collagen for Hund scaled ad spend sharply with increased profitability, and how we worked with Sneglefellen. You find more examples among our cases.

Wondering what a partnership costs? See our pricing, or read more articles on the blog.

Frequently asked questions

What does a performance agency cost in 2026?
The market price for an agency that only manages your ads is around 10,000 NOK per month. An agency that also takes responsibility for creative production, analysis, iteration on winners, creators and video editing costs around 50,000 NOK. At the same time the industry is moving toward performance-based pricing, where the agency has skin in the game.
What is the difference between an angle and a concept?
An angle is the reason someone buys, a concept is how the ad communicates the angle. The distinction gives you an ocean of possibilities: run winning angles through many different concepts and you multiply your volume with a far higher probability of success.
Why do ad results suddenly drop?
A drop in results usually comes down to saturation and ad fatigue: the ads stop working because the account has too few ads with too little variation. The fix is creative variation and analysis, presence on multiple channels including Google, and a testing approach adapted to the new algorithm.
How should you test ads in 2026?
Think A/Z, not A/B. Test angles that are completely different from each other with simple image ads first. Once you have a winning angle, run it through many different concepts, and finally test audiences. The order is angles, concepts, audiences.

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